SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 51.17%. A win for DC United had a probability of 25.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-2 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toronto | Draw | DC United |
51.17% ( 0.19) | 22.88% ( -0.11) | 25.95% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 59.79% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.37% ( 0.44) | 40.63% ( -0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.99% ( 0.45) | 63.01% ( -0.46) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.99% ( 0.23) | 16.01% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.66% ( 0.42) | 45.34% ( -0.42) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.18% ( 0.17) | 28.81% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.33% ( 0.22) | 64.66% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Toronto | Draw | DC United |
| 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.88% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.56% Total : 51.17% | 1-1 @ 10.51% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.87% | 1-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.42% Total : 25.95% |
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