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Major League Soccer
Aug 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
MI

Toronto
2 - 3
Montreal

Bernardeschi (66', 90+4')
Servania (45+5')
Petretta (77')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Choiniere (18', 79' pen.), Mabika (25' og.)
Campbell (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-0 Toronto
Sunday, July 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 2-0 Charlotte FC
Sunday, July 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 1-0 CF Montreal

Sunday might be the best opportunity for Toronto to end their lengthy losing run, as Montreal have looked unhinged and out of sorts away from home, which we believe the Reds can take advantage of.

How to watch

You can watch Toronto vs. CF Montreal and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
TorontoDrawCF Montreal
45.55% (-0.0019999999999953 -0) 25.34%29.11% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 54.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.64% (0.0049999999999955 0)49.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)71.41% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.33% (0.0010000000000048 0)21.67% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.2% (0.0020000000000024 0)54.8%
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.98% (0.0049999999999955 0)31.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)67.32% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 45.55%
    CF Montreal 29.11%
    Draw 25.34%
TorontoDrawCF Montreal
1-0 @ 10.27%
2-1 @ 9.2%
2-0 @ 7.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.69%
3-0 @ 4.01%
3-2 @ 2.75%
4-1 @ 1.79%
4-0 @ 1.53%
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 45.55%
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 6.72% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 7.87%
1-2 @ 7.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.75%
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 29.11%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-0 Toronto
Sunday, July 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 0-1 St Louis City
Sunday, July 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 4-0 Toronto
Wednesday, July 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 0-1 Salt Lake
Sunday, July 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 2-1 Toronto
Sunday, June 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-0 Toronto
Thursday, June 22 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 2-0 Charlotte FC
Sunday, July 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 3-0 Montreal
Thursday, July 13 at 2.44am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 0-1 Atlanta
Sunday, July 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 0-1 NY City
Sunday, July 2 at 2.03am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 0-0 Montreal
Sunday, June 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 1-0 Nashville
Thursday, June 22 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


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