SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Toronto | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
37.98% ( -1.11) | 26.69% ( 0.41) | 35.33% ( 0.7) |
| Both teams to score 51.85% ( -1.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.84% ( -1.61) | 53.16% ( 1.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.27% ( -1.39) | 74.73% ( 1.38) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.8% ( -1.37) | 27.2% ( 1.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.38% ( -1.82) | 62.62% ( 1.81) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.23% ( -0.36) | 28.77% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.39% ( -0.44) | 64.61% ( 0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Toronto | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 1-0 @ 10.18% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.2)2-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.23)3-0 @ 2.88% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.09% Total : 37.97% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.48)2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.69% | 0-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.51) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 35.33% |
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