Union Berlin have struggled for goals this season, and it is difficult to see how they could get back into the game were they to concede first. Despite their loss against RB Leipzig, Freiburg have a good away record this season, and it would not be surprising if they emerged victorious on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Union Berlin	Draw	Freiburg
43.82% ( 0.01)	26.04% ( -0.01)	30.13% ( 0)

Both teams to score 52.37% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.2% (

0.05)

51.79% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.44% (

0.04)

73.56% (

-0.04)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.49% (

0.02)

23.51% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.45% (

0.04)

57.55% (

-0.04)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.47% (

0.02)

31.53% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.08% (

0.03)

67.92% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Union Berlin 43.82%

Freiburg 30.13%

Draw 26.04%

Union Berlin	Draw	Freiburg
1-0 @ 10.73% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.77% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 1.96% Total : 43.82%	1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.04%	0-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.94% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.9% Other @ 2.85% Total : 30.13%