SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 43.89%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 26.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.07%) and 2-1 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Union | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
43.89% ( 1.04) | 29.32% ( -0.3) | 26.79% ( -0.75) |
| Both teams to score 41.46% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.25% ( 0.58) | 64.75% ( -0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.28% ( 0.41) | 83.71% ( -0.41) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.53% ( 0.87) | 29.47% ( -0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.52% ( 1.05) | 65.48% ( -1.05) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.78% ( -0.31) | 41.22% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.25% ( -0.28) | 77.75% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 1-0 @ 14.84% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.24)2-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.4% Total : 43.89% | 1-1 @ 13.15% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 12.14% ( -0.27)2-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.46% Total : 29.31% | 0-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 1.24% Total : 26.78% |
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