Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 36.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ural Yekaterinburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
38.1% ( -0.02) | 25.73% ( -0.05) | 36.16% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 55.14% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51% ( 0.22) | 49% ( -0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.91% ( 0.2) | 71.08% ( -0.2) |
Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.8% ( 0.09) | 25.19% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.07% ( 0.13) | 59.93% ( -0.13) |
FC Krasnodar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.71% ( 0.14) | 26.28% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.6% ( 0.18) | 61.4% ( -0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
1-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.89% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 38.1% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.15% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.63% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.27% Total : 36.16% |
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