Valencia will certainly be the fresher of the two sides, and Los Che have won seven of their 12 home league matches this season, losing just twice. Real Madrid have been excellent on their travels in La Liga this term, though, and we are backing Ancelotti's side to navigate their way to an important three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 50.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 24.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.46%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-0 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.06) 
