SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 54.72%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 18.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.22%) and 2-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.99%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Lanus |
54.72% ( 0.28) | 27.15% ( 0.02) | 18.14% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 38.01% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.6% ( -0.32) | 64.41% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.53% ( -0.23) | 83.47% ( 0.23) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.01% ( -0.02) | 23.99% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.76% ( -0.03) | 58.24% ( 0.03) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.01% ( -0.55) | 49.99% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.35% ( -0.38) | 84.66% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Lanus |
| 1-0 @ 17.12% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 12.22% ( 0.14)2-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.15% Total : 54.72% | 0-0 @ 11.99% ( 0.14) 1-1 @ 11.87% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.34% Total : 27.14% | 0-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.87% Total : 18.14% |
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