Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 9

Jul 21, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez

Lanus
2 - 2
Velez Sarsfield

Acosta (54'), Tomas Ortellado (74')
Loaiza (36'), Acosta (64'), Gonzalez (68')
Sanabria (63')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Perrone (39'), Jara (70')
Perrone (21'), Ortega (59'), Osorio (73'), Gomez (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Lanus and Velez Sarsfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Lanus 1-2 Velez Sarsfield

Lanus and Velez have failed to hit their stride in the new campaign and will both head into Wednesday seeking a morale-boosting victory. Lanus have lost six of their last seven games in all competitions and we are backing the visitors to heap their misery by coming out victorious, albeit by a slender margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Lanus	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
39.52% ( -0.58)	27.83% ( 0.16)	32.65% ( 0.43)

Both teams to score 47.9% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.06% (

-0.5)

57.94% (

0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.36% (

-0.4)

78.64% (

0.39)

Lanus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.41% (

-0.57)

28.59% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.61% (

-0.72)

64.39% (

0.72)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.08% (

0.04)

32.92% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.51% (

0.04)

69.49% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Lanus 39.52%

Velez Sarsfield 32.64%

Draw 27.82%

Lanus	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.73% Total : 39.52%	1-1 @ 13.09% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.82%	0-1 @ 10.45% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.57% Total : 32.64%