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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Jul 21, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez

Lanus
2 - 2
Velez Sarsfield

Acosta (54'), Tomas Ortellado (74')
Loaiza (36'), Acosta (64'), Gonzalez (68')
Sanabria (63')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Perrone (39'), Jara (70')
Perrone (21'), Ortega (59'), Osorio (73'), Gomez (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Godoy Cruz 2-1 Lanus
Sunday, July 17 at 5pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 2-2 River Plate
Monday, July 18 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Lanus 1-2 Velez Sarsfield

Lanus and Velez have failed to hit their stride in the new campaign and will both head into Wednesday seeking a morale-boosting victory. Lanus have lost six of their last seven games in all competitions and we are backing the visitors to heap their misery by coming out victorious, albeit by a slender margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
LanusDrawVelez Sarsfield
39.52% (-0.584 -0.58) 27.83% (0.159 0.16) 32.65% (0.425 0.43)
Both teams to score 47.9% (-0.358 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.06% (-0.5 -0.5)57.94% (0.5 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.36% (-0.395 -0.4)78.64% (0.395 0.39)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.41% (-0.57199999999999 -0.57)28.59% (0.572 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.61% (-0.719 -0.72)64.39% (0.719 0.72)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.08% (0.036999999999992 0.04)32.92% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.51% (0.041 0.04)69.49% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Lanus 39.52%
    Velez Sarsfield 32.64%
    Draw 27.82%
LanusDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 11.78% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.2% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
2-0 @ 7.38% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.42% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-0 @ 3.08% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-0 @ 0.96% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 39.52%
1-1 @ 13.09% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 9.41% (0.178 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.82%
0-1 @ 10.45% (0.2 0.2)
1-2 @ 7.28% (0.037 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.81% (0.121 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.69% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.15% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 32.64%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Godoy Cruz 2-1 Lanus
Sunday, July 17 at 5pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Lanus 2-3 Huracan
Sunday, July 10 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Lanus 0-0 Independiente
Thursday, July 7 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Union 3-0 Lanus
Sunday, July 3 at 5pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 2-1 Lanus
Thursday, June 30 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: River Plate 2-1 Lanus
Sunday, June 26 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 2-2 River Plate
Monday, July 18 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Colon 2-1 Velez Sarsfield
Monday, July 11 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 0-0 Velez Sarsfield
Thursday, July 7 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 0-1 Tucuman
Saturday, July 2 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 River Plate
Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Defensa 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, June 25 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division


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