Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 43.84%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.35%) and 2-0 (5.7%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
VfL Bochum | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
43.84% ( 1.86) | 22.69% ( -0.48) | 33.47% ( -1.39) |
Both teams to score 65.62% ( 1.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.88% ( 2.01) | 35.12% ( -2.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.87% ( 2.21) | 57.12% ( -2.22) |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.38% ( 1.56) | 16.62% ( -1.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.55% ( 2.74) | 46.44% ( -2.75) |
Holstein Kiel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.7% ( 0.2) | 21.3% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.76% ( 0.32) | 54.23% ( -0.33) |
Score Analysis |
VfL Bochum | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.32) 2-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.31) 3-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.27) 3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.25) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.21) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.15) 4-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.54% Total : 43.84% | 1-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.42) 2-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.37) 3-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.69% | 1-2 @ 7.6% ( -0.28) 0-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.54) 0-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.39) 1-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.18) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.68% Total : 33.47% |
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