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Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Sep 21, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Vonovia Ruhrstadion

VfL Bochum
2 - 2
Holstein Kiel

Bero (15'), Daschner (22')
Bero (39'), de Wit (48'), Passlack (78'), Hofmann (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Machino (89', 35')
Knudsen (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Freiburg 2-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, September 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 1-6 Bayern
Saturday, September 14 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: VfL Bochum 2-1 Holstein Kiel

While Bochum will fancy themselves against wet-behind-the-ears opposition in Kiel, the new boys hope their expertise on the road under Rapp stands them in good stead in North Rhine-Westphalia. Even though Saturday's outcome could be a score draw, we back the hosts to eke out a marginal victory against the promoted side to register their first points of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 43.84%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.35%) and 2-0 (5.7%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
VfL BochumDrawHolstein Kiel
43.84% (1.864 1.86) 22.69% (-0.484 -0.48) 33.47% (-1.388 -1.39)
Both teams to score 65.62% (1.403 1.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.88% (2.012 2.01)35.12% (-2.02 -2.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.87% (2.208 2.21)57.12% (-2.217 -2.22)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.38% (1.563 1.56)16.62% (-1.571 -1.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.55% (2.741 2.74)46.44% (-2.749 -2.75)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.7% (0.205 0.2)21.3% (-0.213 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.76% (0.32100000000001 0.32)54.23% (-0.329 -0.33)
Score Analysis
    VfL Bochum 43.84%
    Holstein Kiel 33.47%
    Draw 22.69%
VfL BochumDrawHolstein Kiel
2-1 @ 8.82% (0.083 0.08)
1-0 @ 6.35% (-0.317 -0.32)
2-0 @ 5.7% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.27% (0.312 0.31)
3-2 @ 4.08% (0.266 0.27)
3-0 @ 3.41% (0.182 0.18)
4-1 @ 2.37% (0.252 0.25)
4-2 @ 1.83% (0.206 0.21)
4-0 @ 1.53% (0.154 0.15)
4-3 @ 0.94% (0.111 0.11)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 43.84%
1-1 @ 9.82% (-0.417 -0.42)
2-2 @ 6.82% (0.108 0.11)
0-0 @ 3.54% (-0.373 -0.37)
3-3 @ 2.1% (0.15 0.15)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.69%
1-2 @ 7.6% (-0.277 -0.28)
0-1 @ 5.47% (-0.538 -0.54)
0-2 @ 4.23% (-0.386 -0.39)
1-3 @ 3.92% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-3 @ 3.52% (0.078 0.08)
0-3 @ 2.18% (-0.184 -0.18)
1-4 @ 1.51% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.36% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 33.47%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Freiburg 2-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, September 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 0-2 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, August 31 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, August 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Jahn 1-0 VfL Bochum
Sunday, August 18 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Le Havre 0-6 VfL Bochum
Saturday, August 10 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Spezia 3-1 VfL Bochum
Tuesday, July 30 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 1-6 Bayern
Saturday, September 14 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 0-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, August 31 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-2 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, August 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Alemannia Aachen 2-3 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, August 17 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-0 Holstein Kiel
Monday, July 29 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: AB 1-0 Holstein Kiel
Friday, July 19 at 6.30pm in Club Friendlies 3


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