SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 58.59%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 19.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Boavista |
58.59% ( -0.33) | 21.81% ( 0.15) | 19.59% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 54.93% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.87% ( -0.39) | 43.12% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.47% ( -0.39) | 65.52% ( 0.39) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.59% ( -0.23) | 14.4% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.68% ( -0.45) | 42.31% ( 0.45) |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.18% ( -0.03) | 35.82% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.4% ( -0.03) | 72.59% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 10% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.69% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.42% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.87% Total : 58.59% | 1-1 @ 10.26% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.8% | 0-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.83% Total : 19.59% |
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