SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 61.32%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 17.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.39%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Vorskla Poltava win it was 1-0 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
17.5% ( -0.23) | 21.17% ( -0.21) | 61.32% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 53.13% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.4% ( 0.53) | 43.6% ( -0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.01% ( 0.51) | 65.99% ( -0.52) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.58% ( 0.03) | 38.41% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.83% ( 0.04) | 75.17% ( -0.04) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.28% ( 0.3) | 13.71% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.04% ( 0.6) | 40.96% ( -0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 1-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.52% ( 0)Other @ 2.21% Total : 17.5% | 1-1 @ 10.01% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.17% | 0-1 @ 10.46% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 10.39% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.95% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.89% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 6.59% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 3.42% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 3.27% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.04)0-5 @ 1.36% ( 0.04)1-5 @ 1.3% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.97% Total : 61.31% |
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