SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 56.33%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 23.64% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.87%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VVV-Venlo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | Jong Ajax |
56.33% ( 1.01) | 20.03% ( -0.12) | 23.64% ( -0.9) |
| Both teams to score 67.7% ( -0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.81% ( -0.45) | 29.19% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.78% ( -0.55) | 50.21% ( 0.55) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.43% ( 0.12) | 10.57% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.68% ( 0.26) | 34.32% ( -0.26) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.7% ( -0.89) | 24.3% ( 0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.31% ( -1.27) | 58.68% ( 1.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | Jong Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.23)1-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.2)4-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.12)5-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.04)4-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.23% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.5% Total : 56.33% | 1-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.52% Total : 20.03% | 1-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 3.63% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.62% Total : 23.64% |
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