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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
33.86% ( 0.33) | 24.48% ( 0.09) | 41.66% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 59.11% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.31% ( -0.32) | 43.69% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.92% ( -0.32) | 66.08% ( 0.31) |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.88% ( 0.04) | 25.12% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.18% ( 0.06) | 59.82% ( -0.06) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.94% ( -0.33) | 21.06% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.13% ( -0.52) | 53.87% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 2-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 33.86% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.48% | 1-2 @ 8.87% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.6% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.69% Total : 41.66% |
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