Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 54.27%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Wellington Phoenix win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.
