SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Freiburg in this match.
| Result | ||
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Freiburg |
33.58% ( -0.44) | 25.81% ( -0.01) | 40.61% ( 0.46) |
| Both teams to score 54.46% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.3% ( -0.04) | 49.7% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.29% ( -0.04) | 71.71% ( 0.04) |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.83% ( -0.29) | 28.17% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.14% ( -0.38) | 63.86% ( 0.38) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.81% ( 0.22) | 24.19% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.48% ( 0.31) | 58.52% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Freiburg |
| 1-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.77% Total : 33.58% | 1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.7% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.88% Total : 40.61% |
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