SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Heidenheim |
45.25% ( -0.13) | 23.96% ( 0.01) | 30.79% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 59.69% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.61% ( -0.02) | 42.39% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.21% ( -0.02) | 64.79% ( 0.02) |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.05% ( -0.06) | 18.95% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.54% ( -0.1) | 50.46% ( 0.1) |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.64% ( 0.06) | 26.36% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.5% ( 0.09) | 61.5% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Heidenheim |
| 2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.41% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0)Other @ 3.34% Total : 45.25% | 1-1 @ 11.07% 2-2 @ 6.14% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.99% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.95% | 1-2 @ 7.39% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.31% Total : 30.79% |
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