SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 44.09%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
32.34% ( -0.17) | 23.56% ( -0.06) | 44.09% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 61.89% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.17% ( 0.24) | 39.82% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.82% ( 0.25) | 62.18% ( -0.25) |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.84% ( 0.02) | 24.15% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.52% ( 0.03) | 58.47% ( -0.03) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.6% ( 0.19) | 18.4% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.45% ( 0.33) | 49.54% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 2.83% Total : 32.34% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.55% | 1-2 @ 9.05% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.11% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.63% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.16% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.61% Total : 44.09% |
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