SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 59.28%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 20.56% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.93%) and 1-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (5.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Hoffenheim |
59.28% ( 0.56) | 20.16% ( -0.21) | 20.56% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 62.54% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.1% ( 0.5) | 33.9% ( -0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.24% ( 0.57) | 55.75% ( -0.57) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.73% ( 0.31) | 11.27% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.14% ( 0.67) | 35.86% ( -0.66) |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.48% ( -0.02) | 29.51% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.47% ( -0.03) | 65.53% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.84% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.05)5-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.04)4-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.95% Total : 59.28% | 1-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.32% Total : 20.16% | 1-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.02% Total : 20.56% |
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