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Bundesliga | Gameweek 34
May 18, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
ML

Wolfsburg
1 - 3
Mainz

Paredes (18')
Wimmer (52'), Majer (71')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gruda (24'), van den Berg (72'), Burkardt (85')
Jae-sung (12'), Hanche-Olsen (54'), Kohr (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 2-0 Wolfsburg
Sunday, May 12 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 3-0 Dortmund
Saturday, May 11 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Wolfsburg 1-1 Mainz 05

With Wolfsburg more or less having nothing to play for besides a mid-table finish, Mainz should claim a point at the Volkswagen Arena to extend their undefeated run to nine and secure next year's Bundesliga participation. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 54.39%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 23.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
WolfsburgDrawMainz 05
54.39% (4.958 4.96) 22.09% (-1.276 -1.28) 23.53% (-3.676 -3.68)
Both teams to score 59.84% (0.593 0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.65% (2.52 2.52)39.34% (-2.516 -2.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.32% (2.586 2.59)61.68% (-2.582 -2.58)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.53% (2.631 2.63)14.47% (-2.627 -2.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.56% (4.855 4.86)42.44% (-4.852 -4.85)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.96% (-1.504 -1.5)30.04% (1.506 1.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.84% (-1.848 -1.85)66.16% (1.852 1.85)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 54.39%
    Mainz 05 23.53%
    Draw 22.08%
WolfsburgDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.77% (0.224 0.22)
1-0 @ 8.4% (-0.214 -0.21)
2-0 @ 8.12% (0.511 0.51)
3-1 @ 6.29% (0.675 0.68)
3-0 @ 5.23% (0.753 0.75)
3-2 @ 3.79% (0.262 0.26)
4-1 @ 3.04% (0.561 0.56)
4-0 @ 2.53% (0.551 0.55)
4-2 @ 1.83% (0.273 0.27)
5-1 @ 1.18% (0.3 0.3)
5-0 @ 0.98% (0.279 0.28)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 54.39%
1-1 @ 10.1% (-0.7 -0.7)
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 4.35% (-0.531 -0.53)
3-3 @ 1.52% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.08%
1-2 @ 6.08% (-0.699 -0.7)
0-1 @ 5.23% (-0.89 -0.89)
0-2 @ 3.14% (-0.692 -0.69)
1-3 @ 2.44% (-0.396 -0.4)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.344 -0.34)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 23.53%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bayern 2-0 Wolfsburg
Sunday, May 12 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 3-0 Darmstadt
Saturday, May 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 1-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, April 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, April 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-0 Wolfsburg
Saturday, April 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-3 Borussia M'bach
Sunday, April 7 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 3-0 Dortmund
Saturday, May 11 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 1-1 Mainz
Sunday, May 5 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 1-1 FC Koln
Sunday, April 28 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 Mainz
Sunday, April 21 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 4-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, April 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 4-0 Darmstadt
Saturday, April 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


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