It is difficult to separate two teams that have made a positive start to the season, as York's impressive performance against Tamworth demonstrated their ability to control a game.
Rochdale have also impressed with a stellar display in their only away game of the season, and the Dale have enough potency in attack to cause a few headaches for the York City backline.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for York City had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest York City win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
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