SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Zorya Luhansk in this match.
| Result | ||
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
41.37% ( -0.19) | 25.68% ( 0.06) | 32.95% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 54.69% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.68% ( -0.22) | 49.32% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.63% ( -0.2) | 71.37% ( 0.2) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.36% ( -0.19) | 23.64% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.27% ( -0.27) | 57.73% ( 0.28) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.62% ( -0.02) | 28.39% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.87% ( -0.03) | 64.13% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
| 1-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.99% Total : 41.37% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.22% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 32.95% |
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