Even though they faced perhaps the weakest defensive unit in the league on opening day, the Verde-and-Black look vastly improved in the final third and have thrived on their home field. Despite showing tremendous discipline in their opener, there seems to be a lack of depth in the Miami attack, with Higuain having to do a lot of work himself. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 57.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 20.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Austin FC	Draw	Inter Miami
57.17%	22.81%	20.02%

Both teams to score 52.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.1%

46.9%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.85%

69.15%

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.84%

16.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.39%

45.61%

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.44%

37.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.66%

74.33%

Score Analysis

Austin FC 57.17%

Inter Miami 20.02%

Draw 22.81%

Austin FC	Draw	Inter Miami
1-0 @ 11.06% 2-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 9.87% 3-0 @ 6.13% 3-1 @ 6% 3-2 @ 2.94% 4-0 @ 2.79% 4-1 @ 2.73% 4-2 @ 1.34% 5-0 @ 1.02% 5-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.22% Total : 57.17%	1-1 @ 10.83% 0-0 @ 6.07% 2-2 @ 4.83% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.81%	0-1 @ 5.94% 1-2 @ 5.31% 0-2 @ 2.91% 1-3 @ 1.73% 2-3 @ 1.58% 0-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.6% Total : 20.02%