SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 49.09%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 26.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Nashville SC |
49.09% ( -1.06) | 24.63% ( 0.15) | 26.28% ( 0.92) |
| Both teams to score 54.2% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.84% ( 0.1) | 48.16% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.68% ( 0.09) | 70.32% ( -0.09) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.35% ( -0.39) | 19.66% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.37% ( -0.64) | 51.63% ( 0.65) |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.46% ( 0.8) | 32.54% ( -0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.93% ( 0.89) | 69.08% ( -0.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 1-0 @ 10.4% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.25)3-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.95% Total : 49.09% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.63% | 0-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.56% Total : 26.28% |
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