Both sides have struggled in front of goal in this domestic campaign, but New York have shown more promise in the Champions League and MLS, while Montreal are still heavily dependent on Mihailovic.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 71.29%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 11.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.