Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 51.34%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 23.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 1-0 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.
