Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Boston United had a probability of 28.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Boston United win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
