SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 73.62%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Boreham Wood had a probability of 10.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 3-0 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.11%), while for a Boreham Wood win it was 1-2 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Boreham Wood |
73.62% ( -0.09) | 15.56% ( 0.05) | 10.82% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.01% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.81% ( -0.12) | 32.19% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.21% ( -0.14) | 53.79% ( 0.14) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.5% ( -0.05) | 7.49% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.09% ( -0.12) | 26.91% ( 0.12) |
| Boreham Wood Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.47% ( -0) | 40.53% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.87% ( -0) | 77.13% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Boreham Wood |
| 2-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 8.81% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.55% Total : 73.61% | 1-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 15.56% | 1-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 1.41% Total : 10.82% |
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