Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Warrenpoint Town win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Warrenpoint Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.83%) and 2-0 (5.61%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
