Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
13 | Brentford | 38 | -8 | 46 |
14 | Aston Villa | 38 | -2 | 45 |
15 | Southampton | 38 | -24 | 40 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Tottenham Hotspur | 38 | 29 | 71 |
5 | Arsenal | 38 | 13 | 69 |
6 | Manchester United | 38 | 0 | 58 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Arsenal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Arsenal.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Arsenal |
30.06% | 25.47% | 44.47% |
Both teams to score 54.15% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.54% | 49.46% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.5% | 71.5% |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.61% | 30.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.42% | 66.58% |
Arsenal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.79% | 22.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.38% | 55.62% |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa | Draw | Arsenal |
1-0 @ 8.04% 2-1 @ 7.2% 2-0 @ 4.79% 3-1 @ 2.86% 3-2 @ 2.15% 3-0 @ 1.9% Other @ 3.12% Total : 30.06% | 1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 6.75% 2-2 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 10.15% 1-2 @ 9.1% 0-2 @ 7.64% 1-3 @ 4.57% 0-3 @ 3.83% 2-3 @ 2.72% 1-4 @ 1.72% 0-4 @ 1.44% 2-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.27% Total : 44.46% |
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