SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 48.82%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Newcastle United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Newcastle United.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Newcastle United |
26.82% ( -2.99) | 24.36% ( 0.21) | 48.82% ( 2.78) |
| Both teams to score 55.53% ( -2.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.38% ( -2.83) | 46.62% ( 2.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.11% ( -2.71) | 68.89% ( 2.71) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.69% ( -3.61) | 31.31% ( 3.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.33% ( -4.41) | 67.66% ( 4.41) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.84% ( 0.02) | 19.16% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.18% ( 0.03) | 50.82% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 1-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.55)2-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.33)3-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.51)3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.42)3-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.31)Other @ 2.83% Total : 26.82% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 6% ( 0.69)2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.45)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.23)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.36% | 0-1 @ 9.91% ( 1.14) 1-2 @ 9.51% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 8.19% ( 0.94)1-3 @ 5.24% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 4.51% ( 0.52)2-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.25)1-4 @ 2.16% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.86% ( 0.22)2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.14% Total : 48.82% |
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