Without Wilson and Saint-Maximin leading the charge, Newcastle have lost a good chunk of their attacking bite and are facing an uphill battle even against this depleted Saints backline. Hasenhuttl's side are not without their own selection concerns, but they tend to turn up the heat in front of their own supporters and can prolong Newcastle's away-day misery with a professional victory here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 51.01%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 22.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Newcastle United
51.01%	26.65%	22.34%

Both teams to score 44.41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.98%

59.02%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.51%

79.49%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.71%

23.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.77%

57.23%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.89%

42.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.47%

78.53%

Score Analysis

Southampton 51.01%

Newcastle United 22.34%

Draw 26.65%

Southampton	Draw	Newcastle United
1-0 @ 14.29% 2-0 @ 10.41% 2-1 @ 9.01% 3-0 @ 5.06% 3-1 @ 4.37% 3-2 @ 1.89% 4-0 @ 1.84% 4-1 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.55% Total : 51.01%	1-1 @ 12.36% 0-0 @ 9.81% 2-2 @ 3.89% Other @ 0.59% Total : 26.65%	0-1 @ 8.48% 1-2 @ 5.35% 0-2 @ 3.67% 1-3 @ 1.54% 2-3 @ 1.12% 0-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.12% Total : 22.34%