Aston Villa have recently dropped points against three teams fighting against relegation – Newcastle United, Leeds United and Watford – and while confidence will have been lifted by last weekend's win against Brighton, Gerrard's men could be in for a challenging encounter against Southampton.
Hasenhuttl's well-oiled machine has put together a strong run of form since the turn of the year and when also taking into account their impressive record against the Villans, we can see the Saints coming away with all three points on Saturday.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
