SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Maritimo | 33 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Boavista | 34 | -13 | 38 |
| 10 | Portimonense | 34 | -14 | 38 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Benfica | 33 | 47 | 71 |
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 62 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 10 | 51 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 48.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 25.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Braga |
| 25.42% | 25.77% | 48.82% |
| Both teams to score 49.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.6% | 53.4% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.07% | 74.93% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.92% | 36.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.14% | 72.86% |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.11% | 21.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.85% | 55.15% |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 8.05% 2-1 @ 6.24% 2-0 @ 4.11% 3-1 @ 2.12% 3-2 @ 1.61% 3-0 @ 1.4% Other @ 1.9% Total : 25.42% | 1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 7.9% 2-2 @ 4.74% Other @ 0.9% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 11.99% 1-2 @ 9.29% 0-2 @ 9.11% 1-3 @ 4.7% 0-3 @ 4.61% 2-3 @ 2.4% 1-4 @ 1.79% 0-4 @ 1.75% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.25% Total : 48.81% |
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