Despite their defeat against Porto, Peixoto will be impressed with his side's resilient display against the league leaders and will charge them to take the positives from that performance. Arouca have managed just one draw from their last six home games and we predict the visitors will extend their dominance in the recent history of this fixture and come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 35.93%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 30%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.19%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 (12.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Pacos de Ferreira would win this match.

Result
Arouca	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
35.93%	30.01%	34.07%

Both teams to score 42.1%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.86%

65.14%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.01%

83.99%

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.52%

34.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.81%

71.19%

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.25%

35.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.48%

72.52%

Score Analysis

Arouca 35.92%

Pacos de Ferreira 34.06%

Draw 30%

Arouca	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
1-0 @ 13.12% 2-1 @ 7.19% 2-0 @ 6.99% 3-1 @ 2.55% 3-0 @ 2.48% 3-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.28% Total : 35.92%	1-1 @ 13.5% 0-0 @ 12.32% 2-2 @ 3.7% Other @ 0.48% Total : 30%	0-1 @ 12.67% 1-2 @ 6.94% 0-2 @ 6.52% 1-3 @ 2.38% 0-3 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.04% Total : 34.06%