Russian Premier League | Gameweek 5

May 4, 2025 at 1am UK

Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov

Fakel
vs.
Spartak Moscow

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Fakel and Spartak Moscow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fakel

All competitions

Last Game: Krylia Sovetov 2-0 Fakel
Sunday, August 11 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Spartak Moscow

All competitions

Russian Premier League

Last Game: Spartak Moscow 0-0 Akhmat Grozny
Sunday, August 11 at 6pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 62.88%. A draw has a probability of 22.7% and a win for Fakel has a probability of 14.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win is 0-1 with a probability of 14.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (13.21%) and 1-2 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Fakel win it is 1-0 (5.96%).

Result
Fakel	Draw	Spartak Moscow
14.39% ( -1.84)	22.74% ( -1.16)	62.88% ( 3.01)

Both teams to score 41.82% (

-0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.77% (

1.23)

55.23% (

-1.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.54% (

76.46% (

-0.99)

Fakel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.46% (

-1.86)

49.55% (

1.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.66% (

-1.34)

84.34% (

1.35)

Spartak Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.88% (

1.53)

17.12% (

-1.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.66% (

2.63)

47.34% (

-2.63)

Score Analysis

Fakel 14.39%

Spartak Moscow 62.88%

Draw 22.74%

Fakel	Draw	Spartak Moscow
1-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.63) 2-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.4) 2-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.35) Other @ 2.64% Total : 14.39%	1-1 @ 10.51% ( -0.54) 0-0 @ 8.48% ( -0.41) 2-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.49% Total : 22.74%	0-1 @ 14.97% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 13.21% ( 0.67) 1-2 @ 9.28% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 7.77% ( 0.75) 1-3 @ 5.46% ( 0.26) 0-4 @ 3.43% ( 0.48) 1-4 @ 2.41% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.21% ( 0.22) Other @ 3.22% Total : 62.88%