SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 29 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Sochi | 29 | 20 | 53 |
| 3 | Dynamo Moscow | 29 | 16 | 53 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Rubin Kazan | 29 | -21 | 29 |
| 15 | FC Ufa | 29 | -12 | 27 |
| 16 | Arsenal Tula | 29 | -28 | 23 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 82.25%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for Arsenal Tula had a probability of 6.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.68%) and 4-0 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.31%), while for an Arsenal Tula win it was 1-2 (1.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Arsenal Tula |
| 82.25% | 11.49% | 6.26% |
| Both teams to score 49.74% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.99% | 28.02% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.22% | 48.78% |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.98% | 5.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 79.94% | 20.06% |
| Arsenal Tula Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.38% | 47.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.05% | 82.95% |
| Score Analysis |
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Arsenal Tula |
| 2-0 @ 10.71% 3-0 @ 10.68% 4-0 @ 7.99% 2-1 @ 7.95% 3-1 @ 7.92% 1-0 @ 7.16% 4-1 @ 5.93% 5-0 @ 4.78% 5-1 @ 3.55% 3-2 @ 2.94% 6-0 @ 2.38% 4-2 @ 2.2% 6-1 @ 1.77% 5-2 @ 1.32% 7-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.97% Total : 82.25% | 1-1 @ 5.31% 2-2 @ 2.95% 0-0 @ 2.39% Other @ 0.84% Total : 11.49% | 1-2 @ 1.97% 0-1 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.51% Total : 6.26% |
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