Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 47.89%. A win for Khimki had a probability of 26.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Khimki win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
