Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 46.93%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
