Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 58.58%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 17.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
