Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 58.4%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Fuenlabrada had a probability of 16.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.67%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Fuenlabrada win it was 0-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.
