Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 36.47%. A win for Huesca had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.47%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Huesca win was 0-1 (12.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
