Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 49.84%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 22.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Sporting Gijon win it was 0-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
