Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 54.02%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Fuenlabrada had a probability of 19.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Fuenlabrada win it was 0-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Oviedo would win this match.
