Neither side carries much momentum into this encounter, with Empoli struggling at home and Lecce enduring similar difficulties on their travels.
Given the lack of form from both sides, a closely contested match is expected, though Empoli are more likely to have the edge, having won three of the last five meetings between the sides at the Castellani.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 42.89%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.79%) and 2-1 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
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