After a 1-1 draw in the reverse fixture, the spoils are set to be shared once again on Sunday, as both sides have similar strengths and frailties - making for an intriguing match-up. Fiorentina may have been less fluent in and around the penalty box since losing Vlahovic, but now feature enough talented forwards in their ranks to counteract attack-minded opposition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 51.04%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 25.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-2 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Hellas Verona
51.04%	23.26%	25.7%

Both teams to score 58.2%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.38%

42.63%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.97%

65.03%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.22%

16.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.26%

46.75%

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.94%

30.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.81%

66.2%

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 51.04%

Hellas Verona 25.7%

Draw 23.26%

Fiorentina	Draw	Hellas Verona
2-1 @ 9.66% 1-0 @ 9.01% 2-0 @ 8.04% 3-1 @ 5.75% 3-0 @ 4.78% 3-2 @ 3.45% 4-1 @ 2.56% 4-0 @ 2.13% 4-2 @ 1.54% 5-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.21% Total : 51.04%	1-1 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 5.8% 0-0 @ 5.05% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.26%	1-2 @ 6.51% 0-1 @ 6.07% 0-2 @ 3.65% 1-3 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 2.33% 0-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.09% Total : 25.7%