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Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 6, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
HV

Fiorentina
1 - 1
Hellas Verona

Piatek (10')
Italiano (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Caprari (20' pen.)
Gunter (37'), Simeone (56'), Ceccherini (72'), Bessa (82')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sampdoria 4-1 Fiorentina
Monday, May 16 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Next Game: Fiorentina vs. Juventus
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-1 Torino
Saturday, May 14 at 5pm in Serie A
Next Game: Lazio vs. Hellas Verona
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 2-2 Hellas Verona

After a 1-1 draw in the reverse fixture, the spoils are set to be shared once again on Sunday, as both sides have similar strengths and frailties - making for an intriguing match-up. Fiorentina may have been less fluent in and around the penalty box since losing Vlahovic, but now feature enough talented forwards in their ranks to counteract attack-minded opposition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 51.04%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 25.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-2 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawHellas Verona
51.04%23.26%25.7%
Both teams to score 58.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.38%42.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.97%65.03%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.22%16.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.26%46.75%
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.94%30.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.81%66.2%
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 51.04%
    Hellas Verona 25.7%
    Draw 23.26%
FiorentinaDrawHellas Verona
2-1 @ 9.66%
1-0 @ 9.01%
2-0 @ 8.04%
3-1 @ 5.75%
3-0 @ 4.78%
3-2 @ 3.45%
4-1 @ 2.56%
4-0 @ 2.13%
4-2 @ 1.54%
5-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 51.04%
1-1 @ 10.82%
2-2 @ 5.8%
0-0 @ 5.05%
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.26%
1-2 @ 6.51%
0-1 @ 6.07%
0-2 @ 3.65%
1-3 @ 2.61%
2-3 @ 2.33%
0-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 25.7%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Fiorentina 0-1 Juventus
Wednesday, March 2 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Sassuolo 2-1 Fiorentina
Saturday, February 26 at 7.50pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-0 Atalanta
Sunday, February 20 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 1-2 Fiorentina
Monday, February 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 2-3 Fiorentina
Thursday, February 10 at 5pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Fiorentina 0-3 Lazio
Saturday, February 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 3-1 Venezia
Sunday, February 27 at 2.05pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 2-2 Hellas Verona
Saturday, February 19 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 4-0 Udinese
Sunday, February 13 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 2-0 Hellas Verona
Sunday, February 6 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 2-1 Bologna
Friday, January 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sassuolo 2-4 Hellas Verona
Sunday, January 16 at 11.30am in Serie A


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