Having given the impression they are running on fumes - relying on yet another late goal as recently as Thursday night, and only scoring once in each of their last five games - Roma's momentum could be halted this weekend. If Immobile - fuelled by his battle with Dusan Vlahovic to be crowned Serie A's top scorer - can deliver the goods when it most matters, then Lazio can take advantage; pulling clear of their Olimpico co-tenants in the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 48.55%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 26.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Lazio
48.55%	25.37%	26.08%

Both teams to score 51.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.63%

51.37%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.81%

73.19%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.83%

21.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.95%

54.05%

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.58%

34.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.87%

71.13%

Score Analysis

Roma 48.55%

Lazio 26.08%

Draw 25.36%

Roma	Draw	Lazio
1-0 @ 11.31% 2-1 @ 9.37% 2-0 @ 8.78% 3-1 @ 4.85% 3-0 @ 4.54% 3-2 @ 2.58% 4-1 @ 1.88% 4-0 @ 1.76% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.47% Total : 48.55%	1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 7.29% 2-2 @ 4.99% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.36%	0-1 @ 7.77% 1-2 @ 6.44% 0-2 @ 4.15% 1-3 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 1.78% 0-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.19% Total : 26.08%