While Napoli can boast one of the best away records in Europe this season - conceding only 11 goals in 15 outings - they are once again diminished by injury and suspension, so may be forced to settle for a draw. Atalanta's travails in the final third show no signs of resolution, and they would probably take a point from this encounter if offered. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Napoli
38.8%	25.61%	35.59%

Both teams to score 55.51%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.5%

48.5%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.37%

70.63%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.41%

24.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.91%

59.09%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.62%

26.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.47%

61.53%

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 38.8%

Napoli 35.59%

Draw 25.6%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Napoli
1-0 @ 9.1% 2-1 @ 8.51% 2-0 @ 6.38% 3-1 @ 3.98% 3-0 @ 2.98% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.05% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.83% Total : 38.8%	1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 6.49% 2-2 @ 5.67% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.6%	0-1 @ 8.65% 1-2 @ 8.08% 0-2 @ 5.76% 1-3 @ 3.59% 0-3 @ 2.56% 2-3 @ 2.52% 1-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.24% Total : 35.59%