Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 54.14%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 20.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.71%) and 1-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 1-0 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
