Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest SPAL win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.

Result
SPAL	Draw	Cremonese
34.71%	25.41%	39.88%

Both teams to score 56.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.27%

47.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.08%

69.91%

SPAL Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.47%

26.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.27%

61.73%

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.32%

23.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.21%

57.79%

Score Analysis

SPAL 34.71%

Cremonese 39.88%

Draw 25.4%

SPAL	Draw	Cremonese
1-0 @ 8.34% 2-1 @ 7.97% 2-0 @ 5.53% 3-1 @ 3.52% 3-2 @ 2.54% 3-0 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.2% Total : 34.71%	1-1 @ 12% 0-0 @ 6.28% 2-2 @ 5.74% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.4%	0-1 @ 9.05% 1-2 @ 8.65% 0-2 @ 6.52% 1-3 @ 4.15% 0-3 @ 3.13% 2-3 @ 2.76% 1-4 @ 1.5% 0-4 @ 1.13% 2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.01% Total : 39.88%